With less than 50 days left until the upcoming US presidential election, America is gearing up for whatever comes its way during this time. Donald Trump and Kamala Harris may not share a stage for the next debate, but they will certainly take a few strong jibes at each other to strengthen their odds.
Trump was initially leading the poll prediction; however, Harris has made a comeback, and now only a select few are favoring the former US President to clinch the election. Kamala Harris has the added advantage of being the current Vice President, along with a positive age difference. Apparently, the latter allows her to better connect with the younger population.
Suffice it to say, there has been an unexpected shift in poll predictions. Swing states still hold the key to the upcoming presidential elections. The current difference between Kamala and Trump is almost 51-46%, applicable in the same order.
Latest Polling Data and Betting Market Impact
Overall, Kamala Harris leads the prediction by a narrow margin of 2-3%. Donald Trump should have gained momentum after surviving two assassination attempts but has rather lost the touch. He is fighting multiple lawsuits, including a hush-money payment connected to his 2016 campaign. The accusation is that the Republican Presidential candidate made a payment and recorded it as a business expense in the books.
Working best for him are the numbers on the Electoral College, where he is leading with a probability of 56% against Kamala Harris’s probability of 43.5%.
A section of the population remains inspired by the coverage, indicating how lawsuits could affect Trump’s chances. Hence, their dedication could shift to Harris as the elections approach.
Key Swing States Influencing Betting Odds
A total of seven states in the US are taken into account when one says swing states – Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. These are the states that ultimately decide who takes the chair at the White House. Voters in swing states remain undecided to the last moment or rarely express their opinion explicitly before casting their votes.
Harris has a large support in Arizona, while Georgia is seen giving her contender the lead. In fact, Arizona is moving to give Harris an edge, as she has not precisely taken a clear lead over Trump. Some of the top election betting sites, as a natural course, are loaded with a variety of opinions. Sentiments are constantly changing, as are the odds in political betting markets.
It is expected that the trend will remain consistent till the very end. The declaration of results will reveal the uncertainty about who receives the most votes.
Demographic Shifts Driving Betting Trends
Both candidates are supported by a different class of citizens. Kamala Harris was recently endorsed by Taylor Swift. Swift’s endorsement helped Kamala Harris gain popularity among young voters. However, chances are that most of them were planning to vote for her anyway, so there is not a lot of change in that direction. Kamala Harris holds a reasonable amount of influence on young minds given her stands on climate change and social justice.
On the other hand, rural and suburban voters support Donald Trump. Plus, his opinion about the crypto market makes him a likely contestant within the sphere to get a majority of the votes. poll prediction trends are still taking shape.
Recent Political Events Shaping Betting Markets
Taking that note forward, sentiments have changed since the second debate, which was the very first time Trump and Kamala met face-to-face. The landscape is unpredictable. The former president clearly won the first debate, but controversies surrounding the second debate, primarily related to its alleged rigging and bias, have dominated the proceedings.
Online legal issues of Donald Trump are making it difficult for voters to decide if he will be affected later when elected or if he will be able to continue working to make America great again. While assassination attempts have garnered him sympathy, Harris’s active political campaign has largely kept her out of the spotlight.
Conclusion
The political betting market will witness an increase in volatility as the campaigns progress. There is a lot that both candidates will unearth in the days to come. Consequently, they are consistently gaining and losing momentum. There are no upcoming debates on the calendar, and political events now only have the campaigns of Donald Trump and Kamala Harris.